Friday, 29 May 2015

FA CUP FINAL 2015: LAWRO'S LOWDOWN ON ARSENAL VS ASTON VILLA

They could not buy a goal under previous boss Paul Lambert but, under Tim Sherwood, attacking has become Villa's strength.
Surely they will not want to just sit deep and wait for the Gunners to come at them, because I don't think they will hold out for long if they do.
The more men they commit forward, the more dangerous Villa look.
It is the same for Arsenal - we know Arsene Wenger loves to play expansive attacking football and hopefully both teams will go for it to give us an entertaining final.



Attack-wise, Arsenal look very strong. They also have a lot of competition for places, which is something you cannot have enough of.
Theo Walcott was played up front and down the middle in the Gunners' final Premier League game of the season against West Brom and scored a hat-trick.
But I would still stick with Olivier Giroud up front against Villa. He gives Arsenal a presence up front that none of their other players can offer and hold the ball up much better than Walcott could ever do.



I can see Walcott as playing as a central striker and sometimes on his own, but he is more suitable for that role in away league games, when Arsenal are seeing less of the ball.

They should have more possession than Villa on Saturday and, if Wenger goes with Giroud, he can pay different people off him - including Walcott.
I know Giroud gets criticised for missing chances but all strikers do that. People also say he is not an Arsenal-type of player but I don't think that is right.
He is exactly the sort of player they need, because he gives them something different.

People say Villa striker Christian Benteke is such a threat because he is so good in the air and can also score with his feet.
But the same can be said for Giroud. He might have missed a few chances in the Champions League against Monaco but, in the Premier League, he has scored more goals in fewer starts than Benteke.

Aston Villa striker Christian Benteke
 Benteke has scored 12 goals in his last 12 games for Villa after only managing three in his previous 21


The big Belgian striker is in good form and can obviously hurt any team. Arsenal are right to fear him.
But he will need service on Saturday - without it, he cannot hurt the Gunners.
Villa need to find some width and whip some crosses in for him but my worry is whether they will get enough possession in those areas to do that sort of damage.


Aston Villa - FA Cup final facts
Only George Ramsay (six with Aston Villa between 1887 and 1920) has won the FA Cup as a manager more times than Arsene Wenger.
Villa have played in the FA Cup final 10 times, winning seven, making them the fourth-most successful side in the competition (Tottenham have won eight finals).
Villa's last appearance in a final was in 2000 when they lost 1-0 to Chelsea. Villa last won the FA Cup in 1957.
Christian Benteke has scored three goals in his last three appearances against Arsenal.


They have threats from elsewhere, though. One of the biggest compliments I can pay Sherwood for the difference he has made since taking over is that stopping Villa is no longer just a case of stopping Benteke.
Tom Cleverley, Jack Grealish and Fabian Delph all look to get forward from midfield, and Gabriel Agbonlahor's fitness is also a big boost for them.
Including Benteke, Villa have five players who are good enough to win lots of games for them.
Whether they are good enough to beat Arsenal in the FA Cup final will depend on how much of the ball they have.
What would FA Cup defence mean for Arsenal?
 Arsene Wenger lifts the FA Cup for the first time in 1998 (l) and for the fifth time last year (r)
 Wenger has lifted the FA Cup five times - in 1998, 2002, 2003, 2005 and 2014
  
Retaining the FA Cup would mean more than just winning another trophy for Arsenal and their manager Arsene Wenger.
It is a competition that Wenger has always valued - he won the 1998 FA Cup to complete the Double  in his first full season in English football.
Victory on Saturday would make him the first post-war manager to win the FA Cup six times but it would also give his side a real platform for more success to come.

The Gunners only finished third in the Premier League this season but they are getting better - they have improved since last year and Wenger has become more and more adventurous with his signings over the last 18 months or so.
If he is as ambitious again with the players he brings in this summer, then they will be a lot closer to the title next season.

WHO WILL WIN?


 The FA Cup trophy










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